SCOTT BURCHILL. Jim Molan’s delusions

No-one would expect a surgeon to recommend Chinese medicine to his patients. His advice usually involves a scalpel and some nasty cutting. Similarly, it would be surprising for military men to advocate political solutions to global conflicts. It’s not their area of professional expertise. By default they lead with their strongest suit — organised violence — not geopolitics or diplomacy.

Like economists and market forecasters, the consistent failure of military options in the modern world is rarely a deterrent, or even disheartening, for men with guns. Victory is always just another battalion or squadron away.

By 2009, it was increasingly obvious to most Australians that there were no military solutions to Afghanistan’s complex social and political problems. The Taliban, even without aircraft, satellites or armour, were unlikely to be defeated by either Western troops or their local proxies.

We shouldn’t be surprised, however, that despite public opposition to the war, Major General (ret.) Jim Molan’s still thought in 2009 that we could escalate our way to victory in that benighted country. “Give me more resources and we can finish the job” has been the habitual refrain from our military leaders long before Vietnam. [1]

Little has changed and even less has been learnt.

Faith in military solutions convinced Molan that George Bush’s troop surge in Iraq delivered “victory” to the Western occupiers, a reasonable judgement if victory is defined as the destruction of the country and the immiseration of its population. If you claim to have run the war in Iraq, it may be necessary to believe this nonsense. By almost any measure, the war in Iraq has been one of the greatest military catastrophes of modern history.

Afghanistan was also a tremendous failure. Despite growing public opposition to sending more troops (65% of Australians were opposed in 2009 [2]) and a failure to subdue the Taliban since we first attacked them in October 2001, Molan still believed that a military victory in Afghanistan was “a fair probability,” even if he can neither define it nor explain why the course of the war would suddenly change with additional foreign troops.

In a subsequent article, Molan wisely omits his earlier recommendation in The Interpreter and in the Australian Army Journal to send a further 6,000 Australian troops to Afghanistan for up to 5 years. [3] Perhaps he suddenly realised that we don’t have that many soldiers to spare? Nonetheless, escalation is always the first thought and recommendation of the generals.

The piece does, however, contain a number of equally curious remarks.

In language borrowed from the Bush Administration, Molan claimed that “our enemies play on our morality and exploit our goodness,” a comment as risible as it is delusional in light of what we have also done to the people of Afghanistan.

According to the BBC, by 2009 77% of Afghans were opposed to the use of air strikes by the US and other foreign troops, even if it helps to defeat the Taliban. [4] We continued to ignore these pleas, despite our apparent moral superiority. The retired Major General should talk with the courageous Malalai Joya and the brave women of RAWA about their perceptions of our behaviour before he becomes too self-righteous. [5]

Next Molan conceded there has been “a decrease in ‘popular’ support for the war,” but he places “popular” in scare quotes, betraying a dismissive if not contemptuous attitude to what the Australian people expect from their government and military. He seems far more interested in elite opinion and what his former colleagues in the army think. The public, on the other hand, are weak and expose “our greatest vulnerability, our resolve.” It should butt out.

According to Molan, “the reason given by our government to be in Afghanistan — counter-terrorism — is only part of the real justification.” For unspecified reasons, he declines to explain how he knows this, nor does he adumbrate the other reasons which the government haven’t told us about. Is this just hubris or does the soldier-scholar have insights he is unwilling to share?

Finally, in a paragraph about the mismanagement of the war and corruption in Kabul, Molan blames NATO, a “poor constitution,” and “Hamid Karzai’s natural Afghan ways … .” What is he suggesting here? That Afghans are naturally corrupt and untrustworthy, hence our failure to ‘win’ the war? There is no other interpretation of these unfortunate remarks.

With ongoing bloodshed and little if any evident progress, the populations of the countries intervening in Afghanistan turned solidly against this futile and unwinnable war. [6] Their politicians eventually caught up, largely to avoid electoral disaster. Our military leaders, however, seem to take much longer, or perhaps in some cases never come to understand the limits of military power.

This week, Senator Molan delivered his maiden speech to the Parliament. It will come as no surprise to anyone familiar with his recent commentary that he recommended an increase in defence expenditure. It is always thus. The lessons of previous failures are never learned. Whether we are at war or peace, in debt or surplus, whether we can even identify an enemy or face a threat of any kind, the response of old soldiers is always the same: escalate spending and troop commitment. They never learn.

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[1] ‘More commitment or get out’, The Age/Sydney Morning Herald, 15 September, 2009:

http://www.nationaltimes.com.au/opinion/politics/more-commitment-or-get-out-20090914-fntc.html
[2] ‘Shrinking support for Afghan war at odds with troops: Newspoll’, The Australian, 2 September, 2009:

http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,25197,25232849-31477,00.html
[3] Australian Army Journal (Volume VI, Number 2, Winter 2009):

http://www.lowyinterpreter.org/post/2009/03/25/Afghanistan-The-case-for-6000-Australian-troops.aspx;
[4] ‘Afghan people ‘losing confidence’’, BBC News, 2 September, 2009:

http://newsvote.bbc.co.uk/mpapps/pagetools/print/news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/south_asia/7872353.stm?ad=1

[5] ‘Malalai Joya: Why Afghans have no hope in the vote’, Green Left Online:

http://www.greenleft.org.au/2009/808/41546http://www.rawa.org

[6] A new and detailed examination of the war from a conservative-libertarian perspective can be found in: Scott Horton, Fool’s Errand: Time To End the War in Afghanistan (The Libertarian Institute, Chicago 2017).

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2 Responses to SCOTT BURCHILL. Jim Molan’s delusions

  1. Marianne Hanson says:

    Great piece Scott.
    Regards,
    Marianne Hanson

  2. Jim KABLE says:

    Can you get this in hard copy and put under every door of an MHR or Senator – Minister or not – in both Houses of the National Federal Parliament – please.

    I do not think Molan represents any returned and maligned or unsupported service personnel or ex-service personnel – he does NOT speak for them nor do many of them think much of him I am certain – though remaining quiet while still in the services – of course.

    But even amongst officer ranks I cannot believe that Jim Molan is universally respected. In fact church officials and ex-military warmongers (in the Parliament or as GsG) should be banned from holding such elected or appointed office.

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