Author Archives: Geoff Raby

Geoff Raby

About Geoff Raby

Geoff Raby AO is an Australian economist and diplomat. He served as the Australian Ambassador to the People's Republic of China from February 2007 until August 2011.

GEOFF RABY. Australia has normalised relations with a China-led future (Australian Financial Review, 21.11.18)

The Australia-China relationship is almost back to normal.  The speed at which it has recovered has surprised.  It has taken two statesman-like speeches by the former Prime Minister and his successor, and the appointment of a new Foreign Minister as … Continue reading

Posted in Asia, World Affairs | 7 Comments

GEOFF RABY. Time to ground Australia’s China fear in facts (AFR 29.10.18)

As December draws near, thoughts turn to annual anniversaries and remembrances. This December marks the 51st anniversary of one of the more bizarre events in Australia’s political history. On December 17, 1967, then prime minister Harold Holt disappeared while swimming … Continue reading

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GEOFF RABY. East Asia Just Became a More Dangerous Place

Hugh White in his controversial 2010 book, China Choice, warned Australian policy makers that with the rise of China, the time would come when the US would have to make a choice as to whether to withdraw gradually from East … Continue reading

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GEOFF RABY. Prometheus bound: How China’s power is constrained

The more Australia positions itself as if there is only a binary choice between US or Chinese hegemonic influence in the region, the more likely conflict becomes.

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GEOFF RABY. Australia needs a foreign policy not a speech (Australian Financial Review, 21.08.18)

The Prime Minister’s intervention last week to take charge of China policy and begin to set out a clearer framework for managing the relationship was much too late and probably too little, but it was a welcome start nonetheless.

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GEOFF RABY. An Australian-ASEAN Hedging Strategy on China

Australia’s diplomacy in recent years can at best be described as underwhelming, if not at times inimical to Australia’s national interests.  In March, however, the presence of ASEAN Heads of Government in Australia, meeting at Prime Minister Turnbull’s initiative, was … Continue reading

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GEOFF RABY. How Kim Jong-un can bring his economy in from the cold.

In the early spring of 1990, Pyongyang was more prosperous than many foreign analysts, who had never been there, had thought. The CIA, for decades, had believed the country was on its knees, on the verge of economic collapse, although … Continue reading

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GEOFF RABY. China relations can only be unfrozen with Julie Bishop’s sacking

Once again Australian foreign policy seems to be missing in action. As events unfold at remarkable speed in our area of most strategic interest – north-east Asia – Australia finds itself unable to engage with the key participant at the … Continue reading

Posted in Politics, World Affairs | 3 Comments

GEOFF RABY. Where have all the grown-ups gone on China policy?- A REPOST from June 23 2017

Malcolm Turnbull’s glib talk of ‘‘frenemies’’ does nothing to help the urgent debate over how we handle the rising power of China.

Posted in Politics, World Affairs | 2 Comments