Writer
John McCarthy
John McCarthy AO is a senior advisor to Asialink and former Australian Ambassador to the United States, Indonesia and Japan, and High Commissioner to India.
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Can soft power contain China?
The Quad had its origins in efforts to deal collectively with the aftermath of the 2004 tsunami, an effective use of soft power. Since then the Quad has grown haphazardly into a regional vehicle for the United States, Japan, India and Australia to make common cause against China…. Continue reading »
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Skilled operators: Europe is back in the Indo Pacific
The US might be coming back to the region, but so too is Europe, a nod to the fact that the central locus of global economic weight and geopolitical activity has moved. However, we need to beware the excessive zeal of Boris Johnson. … Continue reading »
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Trump, the Capitol and the erosion of reputation
Can a country so bitterly divided be an effective global leader. Its system is seen to have failed. It is perceived as at war with itself . … America’s international reputation has tumbled mightily…. Continue reading »
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Biden and South East Asia (Asialink Nov 24, 2020
Three weeks after the election, there is plenty of evidence that Biden and the emerging Democrat foreign policy team -in-waiting appreciate the strategic challenges facing President Elect Biden both in Europe and the Indo-Pacific…. Continue reading »
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What will Australia and Japan want from Joe Biden? (AFR Nov 16, 2020)
Mr. Morrison’s foreign policy initiatives usually suggest determination rather than calibration. But today’s visit to Tokyo is notable for both. In the time of Corona, it is gutsy in domestic terms -and considered international policy…. Continue reading »
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The dangers of excessive foreign policy zeal in dealing with China.
We have displayed excessive zeal in embarking on wholesale policing of university agreements with foreign institutions, in the highly publicised raids on a third-tier Labor politician in Sydney who has no access to issues relevant to our national security, in the questioning of Chinese journalists here and, above all, in the much publicised attempt to… Continue reading »
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Thailand’s political fault lines grow
The Bangkok student demonstrations over the past few weeks represent another of the manifestations of discontent about Thai governance, which, over the past couple of generations, have burst through the fault lines of the Thai polity…. Continue reading »
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Biden and Australia (Asia Link Sep 8, 2020)
With the polls pointing to a Joe Biden victory in the US presidential race, the stakes for Australia, and its interests in a stable Indo-Pacific, are high. Former ambassador to the United States and Asialink senior adviser John McCarthy breaks down some of the likely foreign policy trends under a Biden presidency and points to… Continue reading »
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After AUSMIN: How to Ensure Strong Ties to the US and Asia
Following the Australia-United States Ministerial Consultations (AUSMIN) on 28 July, former ambassador to Washington, John McCarthy, argues our strengthening alliance with the US does not preclude building closer relations with Asia, including a potential modus vivendi with China…. Continue reading »
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Japan is handling relations with China better than Australia.
Scott Morrison is shortly to have a virtual meeting with Japanese Prime Minister Abe, to be followed by an official visit to Japan when COVID 19 permits. Morrison is taking Japan seriously. Good…. Continue reading »
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Vietnam’s remarkable rise deserves more attention from Canberra
Vietnam’s response to COVID-19 has highlighted its competence as a country. It has unequivocally won the peace. It manages its relations with China with firmness and diplomacy…. Continue reading »
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JOHN McCARTHY. COVID-19 , Trump, Xi and Canberra(AFR 22.4.2020)
Australia’s decision to spearhead an international enquiry into the origins of the Covid19 pandemic –read China’s lack of transparency and the WHO’s mistakes –is a nice hoary bellow from our domestic political ramparts, but it is a policy mistake…. Continue reading »
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JOHN MCCARTHY. Beyond the Pandemic
Australia can no longer rely on the US for our security shield. Australia must secure longterm multilateral structures with our south-east Asian neighbours in order to better prepare ourselves for the world after the COVID-19 pandemic…. Continue reading »
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JOHN MCCARTHY. Reflections on the Accidental Independence of East Timor.(The Strategist 18.1.2020)
Every country has its legends. They may be important to national self-esteem, but they’re not necessarily good history…. Continue reading »
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JOHN MCCARTHY. The Morrison Doctrine.
Dear Prime Minister, I see you are developing a foreign policy doctrine of your own. Good. We haven’t had one for a while. Congratulations on taking this stuff seriously. The management of our external environment will be your toughest job as Prime minister. Our external challenges are of a scale not seen since the Pacific… Continue reading »
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Forging a national consensus on Australia’s external security (The Strategist, 19 Aug 2019)
With the federal election out of the way, and some welcome stability in the leadership of the major political parties in prospect, Australia now faces the challenge of forging a national consensus on an external security policy that reflects our self-confidence and maturity as a nation…. Continue reading »
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JOHN MCCARTHY. Enter, Boris.
Engaging in meetings and over dinner in London recently with British figures observing or involved in the Brexit process brought home that, while Australians follow the Brexit drama, we know little of its detail. We enjoy the sport, but try explaining the Irish Backstop in your local pub…. Continue reading »
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JOHN McCARTHY. The Darroch Affair.
The comments from Sir Kim Darroch, British Ambassador to Washington, in a wad of his classified messages to London are a juicy read. President Trump “radiates insecurity” while his administration is “uniquely dysfunctional” and riven by “knife fights”. Trump could very well “crash and burn”. Leaked to the Mail on Sunday, they have cost him… Continue reading »
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JOHN McCARTHY. Time to Focus on Foreign Policy for the Sake of Australia’s Future (Asialink).
Australians face a set of decisions in foreign policy arguably more important to us than any national decisions since the Second World War, writes John McCarthy, former ambassador to Washington, Tokyo, Jakarta and New Delhi. How we navigate them could even have existential implications…. Continue reading »
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JOHN McCARTHY. Indonesia and Australia.
On 17 April Indonesia goes to the polls. Shortly thereafter Australia will do the same. We will again need to think about Indonesia. … Continue reading »
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JOHN MCCARTHY. The Jerusalem Embassy,Iran and our national interest
Prime Minister Morrison’s announcements of a potential move of our embassy in Israel from Tel Aviv to Jerusalem, and less newsworthy but nonetheless significant, of a review of our support for the Iran Nuclear Deal, threaten seriously to prejudice the Australian national interest…. Continue reading »
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JOHN McCARTHY. Australian foreign policy needs more silence.
Simon and Garfunkel sang of the dangers of the sound of silence. But in Australian Foreign Policy, we need more of it…. Continue reading »
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JOHN McCARTHY. The West needs to talk about Russia.
The place Russia occupies in the political maelstrom in Washington, the recent sanctions bills in Congress and Putin’s cuts to the American diplomatic presence in Russia are driving the US’s relationship—and hence the West’s relationship—with Russia from bad to worse. However, the following thoughts—from a Russia neophyte after a trip to Moscow and road journey… Continue reading »
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JOHN McCARTHY. Preparing for Trump
ANZUS has morphed from an alliance to a sacrosanct ethos to which all Australians are supposed to subscribe. It is time it went back to what it was supposed to be – an alliance. … To differ with the Americans may require political courage of an order to which the Australian political class are unaccustomed. … Continue reading »
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JOHN McCARTHY. Foreign Policy. Australia, the United States and Asia. (Repost from Policy Series)
In a conversation in October last year with two British foreign correspondents and a former Japanese Prime Ministerial foreign policy adviser, the subject turned to the United States. All three interlocutors argued that in recent years Australia had superseded both Japan and the United Kingdom as the United States’ closest ally. This view should not… Continue reading »
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John McCarthy. Foreign Policy. Australia, the United States and Asia.
Fairness, Opportunity and Security Policy Series edited by Michael Keating and John Menadue In a conversation in October last year with two British foreign correspondents and a former Japanese Prime Ministerial foreign policy adviser, the subject turned to the United States. All three interlocutors argued that in recent years Australia had superseded both Japan and… Continue reading »
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John McCarthy. Australia and Indonesia: hard times ahead.
The executions of Andrew Chan and Myuran Sukumaran will leave most Australians dismayed by President Joko Widodo’s refusal of clemency, angered by the clumsy, ugly execution process and jaundiced by the attitudes of a number of Indonesians on killing two of our countrymen. This latest downturn with Indonesia will make us reflect—again—on what we should… Continue reading »
