Ian McAuley

SATURDAYs GOOD READING AND LISTENING FOR THE WEEKEND

A regular collection of links to writings and broadcasts in other media

ABCs Saturday Extra with Geraldine Doogue (from 0730 to 0900 or on their website in case you miss it).

Brazils catastrophic fires are just a series of crises facing the country but the new president seems to be short on solutions.

Will the forthcoming election in Israel manage to shift Benjamin Netanyahus hold on power?

A Foreign Affair this month looks at President Macrons G7 triumphs, the historical wrongs between Japan and South Korea, and how Indonesias Muslims plans to take their religion back from the Wahabis

If you want to have a good life, you should think about how to have a good death so what would that entail?

The survivors tale an incredible against the odds story from the battle of Long Tan.

Other commentary

Is democracy dying?

Democracies are generally thought to die at the barrel of a gun, in coups and revolutions. These days, however, they are more likely to be strangled slowly in the name of the people.

Thats the introduction to editorial commentin the most recent Economist. The editors are understandably critical of populists who sneer at elites, even if they themselves are rich and powerful. They also warn of the tide of cynicism that has led citizens to hold politics in contempt and has led politicians to vandalise traditions and institutions with impunity.

George Monbiots explanation for the rise of populist buffoons

George Monbiot asks why democracies have turned to extravagant buffoons to lead their countries:

Boris Johnson, Nigel Farage, Donald Trump, Narendra Modi, Jair Bolsonaro, Scott Morrison, Rodrigo Duterte, Matteo Salvini, Recep Erdogan, Viktor Orban and a host of other ludicrous strongmen or weakmen as they so often turn out to be dominate nations that would once have laughed them off stage.

He finds an explanation in the way capitalism has changed. Entrepreneurial capitalism needs the service of a competent government, but the capitalism of rent-seekers and of multinational firms that have no dependence on any one countrys public policy seeks and thrives with weak and pliable governments.

The Coalition should thank us for helping fund their election propaganda

Thats not exactly the way the Australian National Audit Office has put it in their report Government Advertising: June 2015 to April 2019, but thats its essential message. The ANAO is particularly critical of the advertising messages in the governments Powering Forward campaign which claimed to be about helping energy users to find the most reliable and affordable energy sources and to manage their bills and usage. Although the statements presented information as fact, the ANAO, drawing on material provided by the Government, was unable to find that the material was accurate or even verifiable. It found The Ministerial statement released at the launch of Phase 4 [of the Powering Forward program] contained overt political argument and could be interpreted as being directed at strengthening community support for the government of the day.

Why did the West go to sleep as Asia woke up?

Kishore Mahbubani asks that question in his Ted Talk How the West can adapt to a rising Asia. The West, blinded by two events the end of the cold war and the 9/11 attacks failed to notice Asias re-awakening, and failed to adapt its economies to a new world reality. Maububani seamlessly moves between what others may have traditionally categorised as domestic and foreign policies, and offers what he calls a three m path to policy recommendations for the West.

A brief for Morrisons visit to Timor-Leste

Michael Leach of Swinburne University of Technology has an article in The Conversation After a border dispute and spying scandal, can Australia and Timor-Leste be good neighbours?It includes an explanation of the processes and outcomes involved in settling a maritime boundary between our nations, pointing out our hypocrisy involving the UN Convention on the Law of the Sea. And of course he mentions our disgraceful behaviour around the bugging of the embassy.

On ABCs _Breakfast_program on Friday Geraldine Doogue interviews former president Jose Ramos-Horta. He describes his countrys progress over the twenty years since independence, and its still huge problems in combatting poverty. When Doogue asks whether Australias military support in 1999 was on our initiative or at Americas urging, Ramesh-Horta diplomatically avoids a direct response. (12 minutes)

Vale David Koch

Fairfax columnist Nicole Hemmer has written an article(you couldnt really call it an obituary) about the billionaire David Koch. He was one of the infamous Koch brothers whose donations to the Republican Party and to libertarian movements dramatically reshaped American politics in the late twentieth century. She writes that the issue of anonymous funding will plague American politics for decades, unless a future Supreme Court returns the right of free speech and political power to people, not corporations.

(It’s a warning to Australia, because our disclosure laws, with their time lag, may as well not exist. In the 2019 election Palmers money was on full display, but we may never know where other funds dark money supporting One Nation and the Coalition came from.)

Big business doesnt have to lobby governments: it already runs the show

_Crikeys_Bernard Keane draws our attention to Cornelia Wolls article in American Affairs Corporate power behind lobbying. Drawing on academic research, Woll demonstrates that corporate lobbying is far less effective than many of us may believe. One reason is that noisy corporate campaigns tend to be responded to by campaigns organised by countervailing interest groups thats why quiet politics (as explicitly favoured by Morrison) is far more effective in securing corporate privilege than loud lobbying. Her main message is that corporations dont have to put too much effort into getting their way because they are already so powerful. The 2008 bail-out of the finance sector, for example, was a government initiative: bankers didnt have to beg for it. (An Australian example would be the eagerness of successive governments to subsidise private health insurance.)

Has the Bureau of Statistics become the Department of Truth?

When the ABS releases the results of a new survey most journalists lazily cobble together an article from the short summary on the Bureaus website: few take the trouble to look further by analysing the data.

Readers may remember our puzzlement in the posting of Saturday July 20 when the ABS released its income and wealth survey. We wrote The ABS media release is headed Inequality stable since 2013-14, but thats not what the figures reveal.

Frank Stilwell and Christopher Shiel too were puzzled, as was Paul Karpof The Guardian. Stilwell and Shiel have an article in The Conversation about how once-independent government agencies are downplaying growth in inequality. They reveal the drafting process in the Bureau, in which words about a significant increase in wealth inequality were edited out of the press release.

Many commentators on inequality look only at income distribution, and it is true that income distribution, while becoming more unequal, has not shown any dramatic shift so far this century. But over time income inequality, combined with rises in asset prices, builds up into significant wealth inequality, as shown in the figure below. Unsurprisingly we dont hear much from Morrison or Frydenberg about wealth inequality.

The Department of Home Affairs what its like on the inside

We know how Duttons strangely-named Department of Home Affairs treats refugees and asylum seekers. Its not all that pleasant on the inside either, according to an article by the ABCs Matthew Doran, who has gotten hold of the findings of the most recent Australian Public Service Employee Census. It finds that workers in the Home Affairs Department have the lowest levels of job satisfaction in the public service. Only a quarter said they felt valued for their work and only a third said they believed their executives to be of high quality. These results are strongly at variance with the public service as a whole.

For any publicly-available results we will have to wait until later in the year when the Public Service Commission produces its regular State of the Service report, which is unlikely to draw much attention to problems of public service politicisation.

Philip Lowe from Jackson Hole, Wyoming: its up to governments, not central banks

Reserve Bank Governor Philip Lowe has made a presentation at the annual Economic Policy Symposium organised by the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, at which the worlds central bankers come together. Much of Lowes speech is technical (e.g. about the psychology of inflation targeting), but he also talks about the elevated expectations that monetary policy can deliver economic prosperity. Monetary policy cannot do the heavy lifting: in fact it can do nothing if all countries engage in monetary easing at the same time. Rather the onus is back on governments: reduce political shocks, give economies a fiscal boost (particularly through infrastructure provision), and engage in structural reform.

(Our Prime Minister wasnt in Wyoming to hear Lowes advice: he was in France trying to get noticed among those who had gathered for the G7 meeting, where he did manage to get time with the interim prime minister of one of Europes fading kingdoms.)

Gonna get along without you now

Had the G7 Summit issued a communiqu,that could have been its title, for Trumps behaviour showed he clearly didnt want to be there. Writing in The Atlantic Peter Nicholas describes the dynamicsof the gathering how Trump went AWOL from the meeting on climate and how he was put out by Russias exclusion from the forum. The summit appeared to be organized in ways that diminished the likelihood of a Trumpian tantrum he writes.

Getting along with the USA

Writing in the Northern Daily Leader (in other publications but paywalled) that well-known radical left politician John Hewsonpoints out the stupidity of our joining Trumps so-called coalition to focus on freedom of navigation in the Straits of Hormuz. The only other countries to have joined the US in the so-called coalition are Bahrain and the UK. Other European countries are not in it. Our involvement serves no national interest: our military-strategic priorities should be in our own region he points out.

In an echo of our having been dragged into the Iraq war on the basis of a non-existent threat (remember weapons of mass destruction), Clinton Fernandez, writing on Michael Wests website, points out that Wikileaks cables reveal that Iran presents no threat to Australia and hardly any to the US. Irans military strategy is defensive, says Lieutenant-General Ronald Burgess of the US Defense Intelligence Agency.

Polling in Australia: we dont think much of Morrison _or_Albanese

The most recent Essential Reportshows that Morrisons net approval rating (48 per cent) continues to be ahead of Albaneses (38 per cent), although both seem to have suffered an uptick in their disapproval ratings. Coming from a long way back Albanese is slowly picking up his preferred prime minister rating, but the main message from the poll seems to be that the electorate, particularly women, dont think much of either.

The poll asks people about their attitude to the political influence of the USA and China on Australia. To sum it up we seem to be more positive towards the Americans than to the Chinese, but we would like both to keep out of our politics.

It also asks NSW respondents about their support of or opposition to removal of abortion from the criminal code and re-classifying it as a medical issue. There is 71 per cent support and 17 per cent opposition, with a significant gender difference but little evidence of age difference.

Polling in America: even Republicans are coming to love unions

In the USA the Gallup Poll finds that community approval of unions, which dipped sharply around ten years ago, is now near a fifty-year high, at 64 per cent. Most notable is a change of support among Republicans: in 2009 their approval was only 29 per cent but it is now 45 per cent.

Commenting on these findings, _Common Dreams_writer Jake Johnson points out that because of this growth in support unions will play a stronger role in the 2020 elections than they have in past elections.

Where there is no vision, the people perish

Christians will recognise this as a quote from the Book of Proverbs. It is also a message for Laborfrom Professor Adrian Pabst, on the ABCs Religion and Ethics Report, urging Labor to re-connect with people with religious conviction. He reminds us that Labors values are in line with Christian social morality, but that it has allowed itself to be portrayed as a party of aggressive secularism, a portrayal that has cost it support among voters of all religions. In the 2019 election Labor presented a series of specific policies lacking any underlying moral narrative. (28 minutes) Pabst has written a book Story of our country: Labors vision for Australia.

On the same program Kate Harrison of the Anglican Deaconess Ministries has a broadly similar message for Labor: its campaign had too many details without a sense of moral purpose. She is joined by Michael Wear who was an adviser to Barack Obama on outreach to religious communities. They have a message not only for Labor, but also for religious believers. Religion is not an identity defined by a tribe who come together to sing and clap every Sunday. Rather it is about beliefs and morality. Believers should beware of political parties who try to capture their vote on the shallow basis of identity. (15 minutes). Wear is author of Reclaiming Hope: Lessons Learned in the Obama White House About the Future of Faith in America.

Porters religious discrimination bill

Over the next month we can expect to hear a great deal of opinion on Porters religious discrimination bill. (Submissions close on October 2.) In The Conversation is an article by three law academics(Liam Elphick, Amy Maguire and Anja Hilkemeijer) explaining the bills more important details and its context in relation to other anti-discrimination legislation.

Make your next trip a tour of libraries

Perhaps you could plan your next trip, domestic or overseas, around seeing as many libraries as possible. Thats a hint from Sturt Kells of Latrobe University, writing in Open Forum,In praise of the library. He promotes Library Planetas a useful guide. Or, if the exchange rate is stymieing your travel ideas, you can simply enjoy the luscious pictures in his article.

 

Global real-estate

There is little basis for the rumour that Donald Trump has made a bid to buy Queensland north of the Tropic of Capricorn, but it does seem to be true that Denmark has recently been active in the global real-estate market.

Saturdays Good Reading and Listening is compiled by Ian McAuley

Watch out tomorrow, Sunday, for Peter Sainsburys Sunday environment round up.

Ian McAuley

Ian McAuley is a retired lecturer in public finance at the University of Canberra. He can be contacted at “ian" at the domain “ianmcauley.com” .