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Pearls and Irritations

John Menadue's Public Policy Journal

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July 11, 2020

Sunday environmental round up, 12 July 2020

A physical trip to the USA looks unlikely in the foreseeable future so Im taking you on a virtual tour this week. Stories about the effects of warming on life in the largest and smallest states, the harmful effects of heat and air pollution on pregnant women and their foetuses, and, in better news for the environment and humans, three oil and gas pipelines hit stormy weather. And dropping into the UK on the way home, even the Royal Family is abandoning fossil fuels.

April 10, 2020

JACK WATERFORD supports Pearls and Irritations

There are any number of websites by which one can keep up with the news. Some also have interesting commentary. But publish.pearlsandirritations.comis the place of choice for serious attention by experts into important public policy issues – whether in defence and internationalaffairs, in education, immigration, health, housing, the environmentand climate change, and on social issues. Facts, context and informed opinion – just what one wouldexpect from a forum curated by an outstanding public servant, diplomat, manager and public citizen
Jack Waterford was a former editor of the Canberra Times.

From John Menadue. Please make a financial contribution to help keep Pearls and Irritations independent, free to all subscribers and free of advertising.

September 14, 2018

JOHN MENADUE. Beyond the political rhetoric,hard hats and akubras what do our political leaders really believe.

Power does reveal substance. It tells us quite quickly about the values that drive political parties and political leaders. Scare tactics are always a sure sign that the values and policy cupboard is bare.

April 19, 2018

JOHN MENADUE. The facts dont show that Liberals are better economic managers.

Malcolm Turnbull has made it clear that his mantra of Jobs-and-Growth will be at the forefront of his campaign in the next election. This week he will be talking about the growth of a million jobs in 5 years, but there is nothing really remarkable in that on average over the last 15 years about 200,000 new jobs have been created each year. Further, it is less impressive because our population is growing by about two million every five years.

January 1, 2016

Wayne McMillan. Rewriting the Rules: Lessons for Australia

The Roosevelt Institutes Chief Economist Joseph Stiglitz a Nobel Economics prize winner in his own right, has come up with a block buster report on the social and economic problems facing American society. This115 page report which was published as a book in November 2015 was put together with valuable assistance and input from a broad cross-section of people under the stewardship of Stiglitz. Notable economists such as Brad De Long and Robert Reich were among the consulting researchers.

June 12, 2019

ALEX MITCHELL. Unrepresentative Tory swill choosing the next British Prime Minister

All registered members of the British Conservative Party arecurrently voting to elect a new leader to replace Prime Minister TheresaMay. Hailed as an exercise in party democracy, its more like a chook raffle.
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Ten candidates, all chancers and second-raters, have nominated for the job and they share a fatuous and overblown belief in their capacity to lead the UK out of its biggest crisis since the end of Empire 75 year ago.
The nominees are promising to save Britain from the shambles of Brexit, and
rescue the discredited Parliament, the Tory Party and the shattered City of London which once bankrolled world capitalism.
When the country is crying out for a William Pitt, Duke of Wellington, Benjamin Disraeli, Stanley Baldwin or a John Major, the Tory Party is proposing to offer Benny Hill.
Bizarrely, the Tory leadership election is being run by old fogeys from the backbench faction known as the 1922 Committee. It is also nicknamed the 22 and men in grey suits. It has a fearsome reputation for removing Prime Ministers and Cabinet Ministers by fiendish behind-the-scenes plotting followed by the fateful tap on the shoulder.
Over the next few weeks all 313 Tory MPs will hold a series of ballots until two candidates who score the most votes are left standing. They then face a run off to choose the next resident of No 10.
However, the Tory Partys preferred outcome is a single candidate who can
claim the top job unopposed. This will allow the partys formidable propaganda machine to trumpet that the whole party is united behind the next PM.
That is how Mrs May came to office: all the other contenders were persuaded (heavied?) to stand aside so she could take the Prime Ministership unopposed.
The problem for Tory backroom wire-pullers is that Old Blighty has changed since the vicars daughter danced into Downing Street. Commentators, academics and MPs past and present are lining up to say that Britains 66 million inhabitants, Brexiteers or Remainers, wont accept a new PM decided by an undemocratic and unrepresentative swill at Westminster. Why? Because they have no say at all in the Tory selection process and it is furiously resented.
Without a written constitution, English Tory MPs, most of them privately educated at Eton and Harrow, and then picking up a degree at Oxford or Cambridge, have consolidated a "good chap" theory of government in Westminster and Whitehall. It is personified by old Eton chums, former PM David Cameron and Boris Johnson, the current bookies' favourite to win. (According to a quite believable legend Cameron dreamt up the idea of a referendum on the EU while eating a pizza at Chicago airport.)
The Economist magazine, robust bible of Tory opinion since the early 19th century, said scathingly: The 124,000 members of the Conservative Party who will choose the next Prime Minister, an unrepresentative sample, to put it mildly, will thus take it upon themselves to resolve the question that has split the nation down the middle. (The Economist, 1 June 2019)
The magazine added: A group of people more likely to be of pensionable age than not, more than two-thirds male, just half the size of Wolverhampton and
far less ethnically diverse has become Britains electoral college.
Put it this way: if all the registered voters in either Toowoomba in Queensland and Ballarat in Victoria chose the next Prime Minister of Australia, would the
Australian electorate accept it? No, of course not.
The next British PM could stem some of the UK electorates fury by giving a written undertaking to hold a General Election or a new EU referendum within, say, six months of taking office. But all of the Tory candidates in the leadership race have specifically ruled out any public vote of any kind, election or referendum. So much for democracy from the Mother of Parliaments.
Before he was emptied out of Downing Street, having occupied the Prime Ministership for about five years too long, Winston Churchill issued his dictum on Tory Party regime change: If the leader trips he [sic] must be sustained. If he [sic again] makes mistakes, they must be covered. If he [sic once again] sleeps, he must not be wantonly disturbed. If he is no good, he must be pole-axed.
Mrs Theresa Mays pole-axe moment has arrived. She tearfully resigned the Prime Ministership on May 24 to sit on the backbench. Some say she is privately hoping to be recalled to find a Brexit deal with the EU leaders. Others believe that the Tories elect the Old Etonian clown, Boris Johnson. But that will simply lead to further catastrophes and humiliations.
Anything seems possible in the current political environment. Didn't the Ukraine just elect a comedian named Zelensky as its new President? Will he be any funnier than the one in the White House?
By the way, whatever happened to the Mother Country which once basked in a reputation as a green and pleasant land and the industrial workshop of the world? Just asking.
Alex Mitchell is the former political editor of The Sun-Herald, and writer of the blog www.cometherevolution.com.au
August 8, 2018

The need to think more seriously about war

Government justifications for major investments in ADF new capability and assertions by defence experts that Australia should substantially expand its defence spending rarely address two important issues. The prospect for military success in a war in East Asia and the expectations around Australian casualtiesmilitary and civilian. Thinking about the first issue helps shed some light on the second.

November 8, 2017

JOHN MENADUE How Murdoch and Abeles twisted the arm of the Hawke Government to help Ansett Airlines at the expense of Qantas.

In a blog last Friday I recalled that Rupert Murdoch had said that he had never asked a Prime Minister for anything. That is quite brazen. From my own personal experience I know that is just not true. One early example which I describe below is an example of the way that Rupert Murdoch operates, in this case in association with Peter Abeles, to extract concessions from governments. At the time in 1988 Murdoch and Abeles had a business partnership in Ansett Airlines. I was then CEO of Qantas.

June 2, 2019

MICHAEL McKINLEY. Another climate change warning and the return of a Pentagon prophecy the new government might take seriously.

Richard Butler recently made the point on this site that, in relation to foreign policy, the Australian Government finds the disposition andpose of the ostrich to be to its liking: a futile self-absorption in reality denial. To this I would add that it is common to almost every policy area, and it recalls the traditional response of the successive Pontificates over so many years to their own travails. Essentially and ironically, it is an attempt to insist that the intruding world of dissent and challenges to the status quo ignore the nature of necessity and things which provide for current comforts and privileges at the expense of long-term disaster.

December 28, 2017

ANDREW GLIKSON. The criminal dimension of climate change-a new book.

“We’re simply talking about the very life support system of this planet.” (Professor Joachim Schellnhuber, Director of the Potsdam Institute of Climate Impacts)

The extreme rise in atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) since the onset of the industrial age, reaching approximately 403 parts per million in 2017, and the corresponding rise in mean global temperature to +1.3 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial temperature, pose an existential risk for the future of civilization and nature.

January 31, 2019

Money Matters for Student Outcomes

A new comprehensive review of academic studies in the United States has found overwhelming evidence of a strong causal relationship between increased school spending and student outcomes. It concludes that the question of whether money matters is essentially settled and that .any claim that there is little evidence of a statistical link between school spending and student outcomes is demonstrably false.

November 23, 2018

GOOD READING AND LISTENING FOR THE WEEKEND

A regular collection of links to writings and broadcasts covered in other media.

September 30, 2018

JOHN WOINARSKI, CHRIS DICKMAN, RICHARD KINGSFORD and SARAH LEGGE-We must strengthen, not weaken, environmental protections during drought or face irreversible loss.

Australian rural communities face hardships during extended drought, and it is generally appropriate that governments then provide special support for affected landholders and communities.

However, some politicians and commentators have recently claimed that such circumstances should be addressed by circumventing environmental laws or management by, for example, reallocating environmental water to grow fodder or opening up conservation reserves for livestock grazing.

But subverting or weakening existing protective conservation management practices and policies will exacerbate the impacts of drought on natural environments and biodiversity.

July 2, 2018

MIKE SCRAFTON. Hunting for the reason-The new frigates.

In line with normal practise, the government has plenty to say about the economic and employment benefits to flow from the acquisition of the new Hunter class frigates and a little bit about what they can do. But offers nothing about the strategic justification for these expensive naval assets. That doesnt mean there isnt a strategic justification. However, the public should be entitled to hear the governments full explanation of the priority of this capability.

September 18, 2019

MIKE SCRAFTON. Abbott, more than an embarrassment

Former prime minister Tony Abbotts ignorance of history and of the Europe European Union, and his tragic adulation of all things British, is simply embarrassing. His licensing of a permissive setting for white supremacists and white replacement conspiracy theorists is dangerous, irresponsible, and inexcusable.

October 5, 2018

China and New World Order. Rules Based Global Order Part 5

China recognizes that it has been a major beneficiary of the existing international order and it has proven to be a fast learner in operating as a responsible power within that order. Its primary goal therefore will not be to perturb the order, but to gain greater influence in writing the rules and running the institutions to develop and police the global order. China is not intent on exporting its authoritarian model and has never been enthusiastic about the so-called China model of an authoritarian state, political stability and state-directed development. Rather, its main focus has been on promoting political stability and economic growth at home and securing access to resources and markets abroad. However if denied its rightful place at the top tables of global governance institutions, China has proven it has the will and the resources to set up parallel, but not alternative, institutions, for example the AIIB.

October 4, 2018

KIM WINGEREI. The Ghosts of Eureka.

The Ghosts of Eureka are still haunting us. Terra Australis has come a long way since the rebellion of 1854, but that last crucial step to become a fully independent nation again, remains elusive.

September 7, 2018

JOHN DWYER. How are we going to water the farm now that copious life sustaining rain is but a memory?

The change in the worlds climate is currently on full display with equatorial deluges, hurricanes and typhoons causing destruction and misery while the the rest of the world burns and experiences record temperatures further North than ever recorded before. As a 78 year old Australian I am well aware of the frequency with which our framers have had to deal with droughts but the current drought that has stripped so much of the country of its fertility for more than six years, is extremely alarming when viewed in the context of the changes in global weather. While we must do all that is possible to stop further global warming it seems likely that we will, in a best case scenario, need to live with and manage the new status quo. While we appropriately support our farmers in this crisis surely we should be examining every possible strategy for improving the water supply to now chronically arid landscapes and indeed country towns that we need to rescue so they can help feed ourselves and the world. One suggested solution, explored here, would involve the use of nuclear power to desalinate huge volumes of seawater.

August 27, 2018

ALISON BROINOWSKI. Truth isn't truth

While Australia was transfixed by the events of 21-24 August, troubles for another leader were mounting in Washington. Turnbull lost the Lodge, and Trump has not yet lost the White House, but a common actor in both dramas remains the Murdoch media.

August 13, 2019

Avoiding the Crossfire from the USA China Confrontation

Australia is on a hiding to nothing from the escalating USA confrontation with China. If we choose USA, China can peacefully inflict devastating economic damage by choosing other countries to supply its resources. If we choose China, USA can withdraw its security guarantees, (albeit never tested in a situation where Australia, but not the USA, is threatened,) exposing Australia to the risk of hostile military action. How will Australia successfully navigate the turbulent waters of this strategic dilemma?

February 10, 2019

MACK WILLIAMS : Chinese view of Second Trump:Kim Summit

Given the key role which President Xi has played in the negotiating process between President Trump and Chairman Kim a recent analysis in the Global Times (published by the Peoples Daily) provides some valuable Chinese insights into the prospects for the Second Summit.

September 5, 2019

JOCELYN PIXLEY. Bringing the Corporate Looters to Heel

Public benefits in restraining business-financiers (the modern incarnation of Robber Barons defined by US economist Thorstein Veblen) are rarely debated, despite corporate corruption and social injustices. Politics of envy or unfunded empathy spin, shouts down policies aiming to curb social-economic destruction. Pecuniary power-and-control motives are not empathetic. But, controls on looters might see less devastation of the people and land.

June 20, 2018

ALLAN PATIENCE: Our ABC!

Grimly ideological neoliberals in the ranks of the young fogies at the Liberal Partys recent federal council sponsored a motion to privatise the ABC. In an astonishing display of shooting themselves in the foot, the old fogies present (including Ministers Mitch Fifield and Julie Bishop) glumly and dumbly let the motion pass, thereby handing the Turnbull government a hefty political migraine for the by-elections on 28 July and the coming general election.

May 16, 2018

JOHN MENADUE. The scourge of lobbyists.

There are many key public issues that we must address such as climate change, growing inequality, tax avoidance, budget repair, an ageing population, lifting our productivity and our treatment of asylum seekers.But our capacity to address these and other important issues is becoming very difficult because of vested interests with their lobbying power to influence governments in a quite disproportionate way. We are rightly concerned and distrustful of governments and politicians. We need better political leadership but lobbyists are a major contributor to the awful political malaise. The corrupting power of lobbyists must be drastically curbed. The swamp must be drained.

November 7, 2016

ROSS GARNAUT. Capitalism, Socialism and Democracy. Part 2.

The Challenge of Globalisation.

This is the second of a two-part series of extracts from an address which Professor Ross Garnaut gave to the Sydney Democracy Network, University of Sydney, 7 September 2016.The full text of his address can be found on his website.

PART 2. RESPONDING TO THE CHALLENGES OF GLOBALISATION.

Democratic capitalisms return to success depends on reconciling concerns for ordinary citizens standards of living with the demands of globalisation.

A global economy would work better with global governance. However, there is little tolerance for international governance in contemporary democratic polities. There are some real advantages in governance at smaller scales where it is appropriate. Efforts towards global economic governance should therefore concentrate on issues where it has the greatest value.

I focus here on trade and development, where we can build on the role of the World Trade Organisation.

June 14, 2016

EVAN WILLIAMS. 'Money Monster'. Film Review

It occurred to me watching Money Monster that George Clooney is Hollywoods Malcolm Turnbull. Think about it. Both are rich and famous. Both are smart, good-looking and smooth-talking. Both exude confidence and charm. Like Malcolm, George has no difficulty persuading us that in any unforeseen emergency hes the one who can save us from chaos or disaster, even a budget deficit or a dreaded hung parliament. But Clooney is something more. Hes one of that rare species the old-style Hollywood leading man. A generation ago we had Cary, Gregory, Charlton, Spencer, Burt and the rest, all in their prime. Now weve got George. And were lucky to have him.

November 13, 2018

Saudis Close to Crown Prince Discussed Killing Other Enemies a Year Before Khashoggis Death (New York Times, 11.11.18)

WASHINGTON Top Saudi intelligence officials close to Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman asked a small group of businessmen last year about using private companies to assassinate Iranian enemies of the kingdom, according to three people familiar with the discussions.

May 6, 2018

MARION TERRILL and DANIELLE WOOD. The infrastructure budget trap

The federal government has foreshadowed infrastructure presents from Santa in next weeks budget. But unlike gifts from Santa, someone ultimately pays for infrastructure spending even if clever accounting hides it from the governments bottom line.

July 16, 2020

Kerr, Charteris and the Palace Letters

Charteris, an experienced, wily and polished public servant exuding the air of effortless superiority - the hallmark of the British aristocracy - knew immediately what he was dealing with: a nave, vain, insecure personality who could be manipulated to British advantage.

November 19, 2018

TONY KEVIN. The diplomatic disaster that was APEC Port Moresby

There is still a lot we do not know about how and why the APEC Summit just ended in Port Moresby was such a diplomatic disaster, from which APEC may not readily recover anytime soon.

January 19, 2018

Unnecessary wars - A Repost from October 26 2017

In a letter written in August 1855 to his colleague John Bright, the great free trade liberal, Richard Cobden, expressed his hostility to Britains involvement in the Crimean War. ‘And yet I doubt’, he observed, ‘if there be a more reprehensible human act than to lead a nation into an unnecessary war’. Cobden clearly had in mind wars that could have been avoided and that were not the result of an immediate and direct threat to a nations territory or interests.

August 10, 2016

MICHAEL KEATING. Taxation Reform

 

Taxation reform is a continuing and topical issue. With a new government and the need for budget repair I am reposting below an earlier article in the policy series by Michael Keating. John Menadue

Oliver Wendell Holmes, the great American jurist, is reputed to have said, I like to pay taxes. In this way I buy civilisation. However, in contrast to Holmes noble ideal, too often today we hear people railing about the burden of taxation, as though it is in some way an unfortunate even illegitimate imposition upon ourselves, our economy, and our way of life.

Lower taxation has been embraced by all political parties without any evidence that, given our already low starting point, less taxation will in fact lead to higher economic growth, let alone pay for itself. Indeed there is no evidence that the advanced economies with high growth rates of per capita income have lower levels of taxation. Nor have past cuts in our income tax led to faster growth, such as when the top income tax rate was reduced from 60 per cent to 45 per cent.

July 24, 2018

ALAN BOYDE. Australia spy trial carries hidden dangers (Asian Times)

Whistleblowers who exposed Australia’s eavesdropping on Timor Leste during oil and gas negotiations go on trial this week in a free expression test case.

April 17, 2019

EMILE NAKHLEH. Washington hawks clamouring to attack Iran

Those pushing for regime change in Iran are overestimating the Iranian peoples dislike of their theocratic regime and are mistaking that dislike for a willingness to embrace a foreign invader. Like the Bush Administration with Iraq, the Trump Administration appears to have given little or no strategic thought to the future of Iran beyond any possible removal of the clerical regime. If attacked, Iran has the capability to retaliate against its neighbours, in a war that could easily spread across the region. The security challenges that Iran continues to pose will be best addressed by policy that is formulated using reasoned, expert-based strategic analysis.

April 14, 2019

SUSAN RYAN. Older women are budget losers.

The 2019 budget contains little to improve the circumstances of the poorest older women. Increases of 10,000 previously announced home care places are provided for. An extra 13,500 residential places were provided. A new $8.4 million is allocated to mandatory reporting against quality indicators in residential aged care. Tax changes are of little use to older women living on pensions. One-off energy payments of $75 for an individual or $125 for a couple will reach pensioners and carers. An elder abuse hotline allocation of $18m is re announced. Over ten years $185m will be allocated to establish a dementia, ageing and aged care research program. The crisis in housing affordability, unaffordable rents and homelessness among older women is not addressed.

June 1, 2017

IAN BERSTEN. Tax policy and reducing financial barriers for small business in Australia.

There is much discussion about the benefits of reducing tax so that Australia can be competitive with other countries in the world. This is only of consequence to multinational companies considering where to establish their headquarters.All small companies and medium-sized companies in Australia want more sales. From larger sales they get more profits and often lower cost of unit production. The emphasis in Australia should be to increase sales and the biggest problem is the structure of the market dominance by large companies.

June 24, 2019

MICHAEL LIFFMAN: do our universities need more clear thinking?

 

The election result and the increasingly intolerant divisions in public discussion over recent years have led to the overdue recognition that Australia is indeed seeing a growing polarization in debate and policy development, and a disturbing tendency for people to think within their own ‘bubble’ and to fail to respect or even seek to understand the views of others.

December 17, 2019

The Budget surplus: is it believable and at what cost?

The Government is triumphing its prospective Budget surplus, but are the economic forecasts for economic recovery realistic, and can the surplus really be achieved while guaranteeing the essential services on which Australians rely.

July 9, 2019

JOHN QUIGGIN. The Murray-Darling Basin scandal: economists have seen it coming fordecades (The Conversation, 9 July, 2019)

Nations behave wisely, Israeli foreign minister Abba Eban observed five decades ago, once they have exhausted all other alternatives.

One can only hope that proves the case with water policy in Australias Murray-Darling Basin, the nations largest river system and agricultural heartland.

October 5, 2018

DUNCAN GRAHAM. When giving aid, be humble.

In 2015 then PM Tony Abbott sought to save the lives of two convicted heroin traffickers. He reminded Indonesians that Australians had given $1 billion in emergency aid and rehabilitation following the 2004 Aceh tsunami, so please show mercy.

He should have been better advised: Indonesians reacted angrily and made gestures of raising funds to repay. Instead of softening attitudes, Abbotts clumsy comments hardened President Joko Jokowi Widodos stand against what he called foreign interference.

May 8, 2019

MIKE SCRAFTON. IPBES and IPCC: Calamity cannot be averted

The key messages contained Intergovernmental Science- Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services’ (IPBES) Summary For Policymakers are not surprising. The trends have been well known for a long time, perhaps only the current scale of the crisis might be news. But if earlier reports like the IPCCs Global Warming of 1.5C or UNs World Population Prospects The 2017 Revision havent galvanised the necessary level of response then there is no reason to believe the IPBES report will do so.

February 12, 2018

Supply and demand

Our mild-mannered Prime Minister has become an uncompromising economic fundamentalist. The law of supply and demand, he proclaimed, cannot be suspended.

August 11, 2019

ANDREA GERMANOS. 'July Has Re-Written Climate History': Month Could Go Down as Planet's Hottest Ever (Common Dreams)

“As temperatures rise, so will we,” says 350.org.

December 10, 2017

MUNGO MacCALLUM. Malcolm Turnbull and Sam Dastyari.

There is an old science fiction story about a totalitarian state which regularly paraded dissidents before a packed arena bent on retribution and punishment.

October 4, 2018

NILE BOWIE. The world according to Mahathir.

Malaysian premier is re-emerging as a strident yet pacifist spokesman for the non-aligned interests of the developing world.

August 8, 2018

TONY KEVIN. Australian foreign policy - Riding two horses.

Australian foreign policy at present seems to be trying to ride two horses at once: an inherently dangerous pursuit, requiring the skills of a trained and superbly fit circus acrobat. Are we really up to this, or should we be pursuing safer courses, with our feet more firmly planted on the ground?

January 1, 2018

JOHN TULLOH. Time for the ayatollah's of Iran to reflect.

Every year thousands of students graduate, but there are no jobs for them. Fathers are also exhausted because they dont earn enough to provide for their family. Iranian protester.

As unpalatable as it may be to the ayatollahs of Iran, increasing numbers of their countrymen are becoming unhappy after nearly four decades of theocratic rule. The BBC says the average Iranian has become 15% poorer in the past 10 years. Youth unemployment stands at 40%. Three million Iranians are jobless. The prices of some basic food items, such as poultry and eggs, have gone up by 50%.

October 25, 2018

GREG AUSTIN: A repost-Australia, Israel and the Pentecostal PM

Israel may prove to be the biggest winner from the prime ministership of Scott Morrison. Events this week raise not only a legitimate question about the degree of political influence being exercised by Israel in Australia but also a question about Morrisons political common sense.

June 11, 2019

DAVID SHEARMAN. Obligations to the Worlds children in the climate emergency.

This government is not fit to govern on the climate change emergency because of its incapacity to grasp the imminent danger to Australia, our neighbours and indeed the world. Today science strongly indicates we have only a few decades to act before the impact of a temperature rise of 3 or 4 degrees brings civilisation to chaos this century. This article will explore some reasons for this incapacity to cope with dire emergency.

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