An Albanese government in Canberra means an improved trajectory in Australia-China relations is a real possibility. Sure, there will be no re-set like we saw in the heady days of 2015. The world has changed; Australia and China certainly have.

And, of course, Beijing will need to be ready to chart a different course, not just Canberra. After all, in 2020 it was Beijings decision and Beijings decision alone to respond to political disagreements by cutting off senior level dialogue and hitting Australias exports.

Further tempering the outlook is that the architect of Chinas assertive foreign policy turn, President Xi Jinping, is expected to be re-instated for a third term when the Communist Party of China meets for its 20th National Congress later this year.

But the Morrison governments actions and reactions were not irrelevant. The current dire state of bilateral relations between Canberra and Beijing was not inevitable.

Missed opportunities It is an observable fact, for example, that the Morrison government abandoned themore diplomatic approachit had pursued in 2019.

Rock bottom in Australian diplomacy came in March this year, when an airlinercrashedin southern China, killing 132 people.

Yet in contrast to the leaders of the UK, Canada, India and others all countries that have had their own acute challenges with Beijing neither the prime minister nor his foreign minister, Marise Payne, saw any reason to issue even a short statement of condolences.

Imagining Canberra has no agency to promote a relationship recovery also misses the fact every other capital in the Asia-Pacific region has managed to maintain relations with Beijing in a more constructive state.

The role and value of diplomacy A recentpollby the Australia-China Relations Institute shows the Australian public recognise the current situation is not as one-sided as Canberra or Beijing like to suggest.

A clear majority of respondents, 78%, agreed that, The responsibility for improving the relationship between Australia and China lies with both countries.

Somecommentatorsinsist there is no prospect of an improvement. They typically point to there being bipartisan agreement China has changed and tooverwhelming agreementbetween the major parties on the suite of policies justified in response.

But this assessment dismisses the role and value of diplomacy.

As Allan Gyngell, former head of the Office of National Assessmentssaid:

“It is not beyond the capacity of effective diplomacy to return the situation between Australia and China to something more closely approximating that of other US allies”.

Penny Wong as foreign minister The Chinese embassy in Canberra will have cabled back to Beijing the conciliatory diplomatic touches incoming foreign minister, Senator Penny Wong, has pursued from opposition.

Morrison hasclaimed Australia has done nothing to injure [the] partnership [with China], nothing at all. But in May last year, Wonginsisted the differences between Australias interests and Chinas interests, do not mean that theres nothing we can do. They dont mean that theres no room for improvement in our own actions.

And unlike the Morrison government, Wong took time toexpressher condolences after the China plane crash tragedy in March.

Another difference is Wong looks beyond just Washington and London for insight into Australias challenges.

In November last year, shesingled out Singapore, saying: “Their insight into China, their insight into the region, are second to none [] [Singaporean] Prime Minister Lee [Hsien Loong] is a thinker and a leader whose writing and speeches on these issues, I think, are second to none”.

It was Singaporean Prime Minister Lee who stood next to Morrison last June andoffered the following advice:

“There will be rough spots [with China] [] you have to deal with them. But deal with them as issues in a partnership which you want to keep going and not issues which add up to an adversary, which you are trying to suppress”.

A new opportunity Theres one other factor pointing to a more positive future. Beijing has form in using the arrival of a new government as an opportunity to undertake a face-saving adjustment.

The Australia-China relationship began to sour during the government of Malcolm Turnbull (between September 2015 and August 2018). Turnbulls foreign minister, Julie Bishop, did not visit China in the final two and a half years of her tenure.

Morrison was the Turnbull government minister responsible forsigning offon the ban of Chinese technology company, Huawei, from Australias 5G rollout.

Yet when Morrison subsequently emerged as prime minister, Beijing took the opportunity toinvitehis new foreign minister for a formal visit less than three months later. A month after Morrison won another term in May 2019, hesecureda meeting with Chinas president Xi Jinping.

Beijing would now also recognise that any plan it once had to change Canberras political decision-making by disrupting Australias trade has been a dismal failure.

It not only cratered Australian elite and public opinion, but damaged Chinas reputation as a responsible great power and reliable trade partner elsewhere (notably in North America and Europe).

All this raises the prospect that when the 50th anniversary of the establishment of diplomatic ties between Australia and the Peoples Republic rolls around in December, the occasion might now be marked with some celebration not just awkward silence.

Reprinted with permission from the Conversation.