Duncan Graham

DUNCAN GRAHAM. Indonesia - after the count - chaos?

The alphabet of election campaign hyperbole runs from Absurd through Fatuous and Stupid to Zero (as in logic).Most statements are ephemeral for the nonsense spruikers know little is taken seriously once the losers are trampled by the triumphant.

But inIndonesiapledges by the former champion of the 1998 Peoples Power Revolution are causing deep disquiet.

Dr Amien Rais has announced that if the 17 April presidential poll results in a win for incumbent Joko Widodo as expected - and theres any hint of funny business, hell unleash mass protests on behalf of challenger Prabowo Subianto rather than follow the legal appeal process.

If fraud happens we will not go to theConstitutional Court, he said.There is no point. We are people power. People power is legitimate.

The presidential contest is a re-run of the 2014 event between the same contenders. When Widodo won by six percentage points Subianto refused to admit defeat for almost three months, filing challenges through theConstitutional Court.All failed.

Fraud has allegedly already been detected.The Corruption Eradication Commission (KPK) this month claimed it caught one candidate with thousands of cash-stuffed envelopes ready to bribe voters.

Had anyone else made the people power threat it could be dismissed as a tactic to frighten electors into supporting Subianto, a former general whos been thumping lecterns to hammer his Trump-style tough guy nativist image.

But Rais is no campaign minion.Hes a seasoned political engineer who was the public face and voice of the 1998 mass movement which crushed dictator Soehartos 32-year dictatorship.

Although then in his mid 50s, the US-educated leader of the nations second largest Muslim organizationMuhammadiyahexcited the rebellious tertiary students.Their huge demonstrations along with the international monetary crisis brought the nations second president undone.

Rais started the National Mandate Party (PAN) and pitched for the top job.He failed and has spent this century in politics and academia trying to retrieve his glory days.Now 75 his statement has chilled observers fearing hes scene-setting for a re-run of the arson, killings and rapes following Soehartos downfall.

The rioters mainly targeted ethnic Chinese businesses.More than 1,000 died inJakarta. Most were looters caught in torched high-rises.

The army says it has almost half a million troops on stand-by to thwart trouble.The police are mustering a similar number.Both are now more professional and better led than in 1998 when rioters outnumbered and intimidated security forces.

General Joni Supriyanto, chief of the armys general staff reportedly said the people ofIndonesiaaremuch smarter nowadays, more modern,but they are also more patriotic mature enough in democracy.

Hes probably right; despite the slanders on social media theres been little obvious hostility in the cities Ive visited across Java andBaliduring the campaign.Most rallies have been policy-free fun shows with audiences allegedly paid to flag-wave. However hearing Subianto scream_antiasing_at an event was disturbing.

The phrase was pure Pauline Hanson; it suggests foreigners are responsible for whatever evils he alleges the country is facing in this case the Republics natural resources being plundered by outsiders.

White faces outsideBaliare still rare enough to arouse attention, but so far theres no indication Subiantos slurs have taken root.It might be different for those who look Chinese.

Absent from the speeches has been any meaningful statements about equality, the environment, human rights, womens emancipation, respect for others, and inclusiveness.

Not surprising as Subianto has been accused of human rights abuses during his term in the army last century. The Western media clich is that Indonesian Muslims are tolerant.Not the Indonesian Ulema (Islamic scholars) Council (MUI), formerly led by Widodos running mate Maruf Amin.

Under his watch it issued_fatwa_(an Islamic legal instruction) against pluralism, homosexuality, and those who practise Shiite Islam, the majority religion inIran,IraqandAzerbaijan.Indonesians are mainly Sunni.

Theres an estimated one million Shiite followers in the archipelago; theyre labelled heretics and brutally persecuted, their homes fire-bombed and families forced intore-education camps.

The prime target for the main parties in the election has been Muslims, and principally men. Both candidates and their backers have been stirring faith and prayer into the secular business of democracy.There are some women candidates, but psephologists predict few will win seats.

Christians, Hindus, Confucians and Buddhists form only ten per cent of the population of 270 million; away from the eastern islands where these religions dominate, theyve been largely ignored.

Theres now a campaign blackout ahead of the Wednesday ballot.In the 2014 election70 per cent of the 193 million eligible voters participated. For the best analysis of the whole shebang see Ben Blands comprehensive and readable essay here:https://www.lowyinstitute.org/publications/politics-indonesia-resilient-elections-defective-democracy

Australian journalist Duncan Graham lives inIndonesia.

Duncan Graham

Duncan Graham has been a journalist for more than 40 years in print, radio and TV. He is the author of People Next Door (UWA Press). He is now writing for the English language media in Indonesia from within Indonesia. Duncan Graham has an MPhil degree, a Walkley Award, two Human Rights Commission awards and other prizes for his radio, TV and print journalism in Australia. He lives in East Java.