Author Archives: Abul Rizvi

Abul Rizvi

About Abul Rizvi

Abul Rizvi PhD was a senior official in the Department of Immigration from the early 1990s to 2007 when he left as Deputy Secretary. He was awarded the Public Service Medal and the Centenary Medal for services to development and implementation of immigration policy, including the reshaping of Australia's intake to focus on skilled migration, slow Australia's rate of population ageing and boost Australia's international education and tourism industries.

‘I don’t hold a hose, mate’: for overseas students Morrison’s ‘hands-off’ approach was writ large

From June last year, the Morrison Government increased the number of offshore student visas even though it knew these people had little to no chance of entering Australia while the pandemic rages around the world. Why would it do this? 

Posted in Politics | 4 Comments

What if Australia’s fertility rate keeps falling?

The ABS recently released births data for 2019 noting a very sharp fall in fertility to the lowest in our history. This was no surprise now that the Government had at last stopped forecasting a sharp rise in fertility.

Posted in Public Policy | 3 Comments

Migration in reverse in September 2020

Net international movements in September 2020 were negative 33,270, a reduction on the August 2020 outcome of negative 45,610.

Posted in Economy, Immigration, refugees | 1 Comment

Why Was Immigration Compliance Activity Tanking Pre-Covid?

Home Affairs Minister Peter Dutton and his Department Secretary Mike Pezzullo are well known for their gratuitous cruelty. But does that mean they have been effective at maintaining immigration compliance and control?

Posted in Immigration, refugees | Tagged | 3 Comments

Amnesty for Undocumented Workers

The ABC reports the Government is looking into an amnesty for undocumented workers to help address a shortage of farm workers.

Posted in Economy, Immigration, refugees | Leave a comment

Forecast of 2020-21 Migration and Humanitarian Program

Australian governments have always cut the immigration intake in response to a recession. The 2020-21 intake will be no different. While the Government may announce a ‘ceiling’ that is not much below that for 2019-20, the actual planning level, which … Continue reading

Posted in Economy, Immigration, refugees | 5 Comments

Tudge’s Global Talent Task Force – Spin or Substance?

Acting Immigration Minister Alan Tudge on 4 September announced a ‘Global Business and Talent Attraction Taskforce’ as part of the Government’s JobMaker Plan. Sadly it seems Tudge’s announcement looks increasingly like spin over substance.

Posted in Economy | 2 Comments

Temporary Entrants Continue to ‘Go Home’ in July 2020

The Prime Minister’s call for temporary entrants to ‘go home’ continued to be effective in July 2020 with a net loss of temporary entrants of 34,830 in July 2020.

Posted in Immigration, refugees | Leave a comment

Australia can’t rely on overseas migration anymore Mr. Treasurer

The Government’s July Economic Statement forecasts net overseas migration in 2020-21 will be around 31,000 – the lowest since 1975-76 and a dramatic contrast to the fanciful levels of net overseas migration forecast in the 2019 Budget. 

Posted in Immigration, refugees, Politics | Leave a comment

Covid Driving Down Onshore Asylum Applications

Closure of international borders has reduced the onshore asylum application rate but we still have almost 87,000 asylum seekers in Australia, the vast bulk of whom are from countries where asylum claims are not likely to be strong.

Posted in Immigration, refugees, Politics | Leave a comment

Can we rely on the PM’s forecast economic boom?

Scott Morrison says Australia’s economy will have to expand by 3.75% per annum for the next five years to recover from the corona virus recession.

Posted in Economy, Immigration, refugees | Leave a comment

Population ageing in Australia and Japan

Australia and Japan are demographic polar opposites.

Posted in Economy, Immigration, refugees | Leave a comment

ABUL RIZVI. Forecast of Net Overseas Migration for the Decade of 2020s

The Prime Minister says the coronavirus crisis will drive net overseas migration in 2020-21 down by 85% of its level for 2018-19. But what would net overseas migration average during the decade of the 2020s under current policy settings?

Posted in Politics | 3 Comments

ABUL RIZVI. Is population ageing affecting Australia’s economic performance?

A lower fertility rate and lower NOM for the foreseeable future will mean that Australia will age much more rapidly than forecast in the 2015 Intergenerational Report and in the 2019 Budget.

Posted in Economy | 7 Comments

ABUL RIZVI. Global Talent Independent Visa: Permanent residence in a week or two

The new Global Talent Independent (GTI) visa provides a direct permanent residence for ‘highly skilled professionals in high growth sectors’. According to the Department of Home Affairs, processing times range between two days and two months with many being decided … Continue reading

Posted in Immigration, refugees, Politics | 5 Comments

ABUL RIZVI: Australia’s struggles with skilled temporary migration

Kristina Keneally argues that when we come out of the current crisis we should aim for a lower level of temporary migration to make sure “Australians get a fair go and a first go at jobs.” Scott Morrison says cutting … Continue reading

Posted in Economy, Immigration, refugees, Public Policy | 4 Comments

ABUL RIZVI. Morrison and Dutton wash their hands of the plight of overseas students?

Australia’s international education industry has boomed for 20 years. Will Morrison and Dutton continue to wash their hands of overseas students? Continue reading

Posted in Politics | 5 Comments

ABUL RIZVI: Coronavirus and Australia’s Population and Economic Directions

The coronavirus crisis brings to an end 20 years of high migration to Australia. On current policy settings, net migration in 2020 and 2021 will be close to zero, if not negative. Australia is looking at the biggest turning point … Continue reading

Posted in Economy | 17 Comments

ABUL RIZVI.Who are the missing 473,000 temporary entrants?

Minister Tudge says there were 2.17 Million temporary entrants in Australia in early April 2020. He explains that 1.697 million of these are NZ citizens, students, tourists, working holiday makers and skilled temporary entrants. But who are the remaining 473,000?

Posted in Politics | 1 Comment

ABUL RIZVI. The plight of temporary entrants

For Sujith, Priyanga and their two children, winter is coming as it is for so many temporary residents.

Posted in Politics | 4 Comments

ABUL RIZVI. We need to keep migrants in Australia during coronavirus recession

If the government does not act to stop the coronavirus recession from forcing migrants out, then Australia will be far more economically vulnerable. Because Australia is a migrant settler nation, recessions here have special characteristics.

Posted in Economy | 14 Comments

ABUL RIZVI.- Job-keeper allowance a gun to the heads of over 1 million temporary entrants

The job keeper allowance is a massive tourniquet for the Australian economy and society. But for over 1 million temporary entrants, the allowance is a gun to their head.

Posted in Politics | 7 Comments

ABUL RIZVI: The Ruby Princess – how could this have happened?

The Ruby Princess, along with a number of other cruise ships that arrived in Australia around the same time, will go down in Australian history as a super spreader of disease and death.

Posted in Politics | 14 Comments

ABUL RIZVI. Possible population projections in the forthcoming 2020 Intergenerational Report

Treasurer Frydenberg will shortly publish the 2020 Intergenerational Report (IGR) –Australia’s fifth such document. It’s as close as we get to a long-term plan (usually 40 years) for the Australian population and economy.

Posted in Politics | 4 Comments

ABUL RIZVI. Why the Kiwis are not coming to OZ any more

For much of the last 30 years, New Zealand has been one of Australia’s top source countries for migrants. But since 2013-14 Australia seems to have lost its attraction to Kiwis.

Posted in Politics | 3 Comments

ABUL RIZVI. Morrison impotent on visa arrangements for Indonesians

The Australian of 10 February 2019 reports the Morrison government is “considering” Mr Joko’s proposal for Australia to relax visa restrictions for Indonesian visitors in line with the “visa on arrival” arrangements for Australians visiting Indonesia.

Posted in Immigration, refugees | 1 Comment

ABUL RIZVI. Dutton’s Trifecta of Border Protection Failures

For years now Peter Dutton has boasted of his border protection achievements. But a brief examination of the details of his boast shows that while he has excelled in gratuitous cruelty, dog-whistling and wasting taxpayer’s money, his actual border protection … Continue reading

Posted in Politics | 4 Comments

ABUL RIZVI: Does Australia have a temporary migration problem?

On 5 December 2019, the Senate established a Select Committee on Temporary Migration to “inquire into the impact temporary migration has on the Australian economy, wages and jobs, social cohesion and workplace rights and conditions”.

Posted in Politics | 2 Comments

ABUL RIZVI. The Australian again falls for Government spin on the record number of asylum seekers arriving by air.

In a front page exclusive on 28 January, Geoff Chambers and Joe Kelly of The Australian uncritically regurgitate the Government’s talking points on asylum seekers arriving by plane. Either they are just innocents with no idea how to do the … Continue reading

Posted in Immigration, refugees | 2 Comments

ABUL RIZVI: Why 5% unemployment today is not the same as 5% unemployment 10-20 years ago

The unemployment rate, and even the underemployment rate, have become an inadequate measure of the true health of our labour market.

Posted in Economy, Immigration, refugees | 4 Comments