Author Archives: Mark J. Valencia

Mark J. Valencia

About Mark J. Valencia

Mark J. Valencia is an internationally known maritime policy analyst focused on Asia and currently Adjunct Senior Scholar at the National Institute for South China Sea Studies, Haikou, China

Do US Intelligence Probes Against China Violate the ‘International Order’ ?

The U.S. stands accused of violating that ‘international order’ by flying military spy planes under civilian “false flags” of other countries while collecting intelligence on China’s defenses. The U.S. may not only be violating international norms but also undermining confidence that it … Continue reading

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The South China Sea: Grasping at Straws and Whistling Past the Graveyard 

As their struggle for dominance in the region heats up, China and the U.S. are cranking up pressure on Southeast Asian countries to choose between them.    As they become ever more desperate, officials and pundits are now ‘grasping at … Continue reading

Posted in Asia, World Affairs | 3 Comments

Who is the Rogue State in the South China Sea?

US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo has called China a rogue state. Among its alleged international sins are its policy and actions in the South China Sea.   But if China is a “rogue” state actor in the South China Sea, it is … Continue reading

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Scenarios for the South China Sea :The good, the bad and the downright ugly

With ever more tit-for-tat belligerent rhetoric and military posturing, China and the US seem to be slouching towards a showdown in the South China Sea. What might come next can be captured in three scenarios – good, ugly and bad.

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US hard line on South China Sea could cause a clash

On 13 July US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo made a confrontational policy statement on the South China Sea. The US followed up the statement with an across the board full court press of public relations, diplomacy and muscle flexing … Continue reading

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Why the US policy initiative in the South China Sea is likely to fail

On 13 July US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo announced a ‘new’ policy on the South China Sea, declaring that “America stands with our Southeast Asian allies and partners in protecting their sovereign rights to offshore resources­. ­The world will … Continue reading

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The US hypocrisy on the South China Sea and Diego Garcia

The U.S. has publicly accused China of violating the existing international order, bullying other claimants, and crimes against the environment in the South China Sea. China may well be guilty—at least from the US perspective. But the same and more … Continue reading

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It is Orwellian to say that America has preserved the peace in Asia.

On 14 July, US Assistant Secretary of State for East Asia, David Stilwell, gave a speech elaborating on US China policy in the South China Sea, and further increased tensions with China there.

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The US South China Sea Policy Statement: Little New and Laced With Hypocrisy

On 13 July US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo made a policy statement on the South China Sea. Although it was anticipated to be ‘new’, it added little to the US position and was laced with hypocrisy.

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Reaction to China’s military exercises hypocritical (Asia Times 7.7.20)

While badmouthing Beijing, its critics often ignore their own destabilizing activities in the South China Sea.

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The South China Sea. Who is the real threat to peace and stability?

The US led-cacophony of criticism of China for its actions in the South China Sea is reaching a dangerous level.  The situation is far more complicated than the U.S. would have it and there is plenty of blame to go … Continue reading

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A China Air Defence Identification Zone in the South China Sea – Is the Sky About to Fall?

In 2013, when China declared an Air Defence Identification Zone (ADIZ) in the East China Sea, alarmists warned that China would soon declare one for the South China Sea.  But the sky did not fall in the East China Sea … Continue reading

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MARK J VALENCIA. The US refuses to see China as a military equal.

A recent US Council on Foreign Relations Report advising the US government how it should deal with China in the South China Sea is derivative, defective, dewy eyed and dangerous. It is particularly worrying because the author is a China … Continue reading

Posted in Defence/Security, World Affairs | 7 Comments

MARK J VALENCIA. To Reduce Tensions in the South China Sea, the Ball is in America’s Court

The solution to the South China Sea imbroglio lies with the US, not China.

Posted in Asia, World Affairs | 5 Comments

MARK J. VALENCIA. COVID -19 Crisis Cloaks Dangerous US-Iran Incidents That Raise Critical Questions

While the world has been distracted by the COVID 19 pandemic, dangerous US-Iran incidents in the Gulf have proliferated and could lead to another military clash, or even war.

Posted in World Affairs | 2 Comments